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Glossary

Negative Flynn effect

Definition

The negative Flynn effect is a reported decline in average measured IQ among people born in recent decades, reversing the long rise seen through the 20th century. The best-known evidence comes from Norwegian conscript data for cohorts born after about 1975.

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Background: the Flynn effect

Through the 20th century, average measured IQ rose. A 2015 meta-analysis of 271 samples, about 4 million people in 31 countries, estimated gains of about 2.8 points per decade and found those gains slowing in recent decades (Pietschnig & Voracek, 2015). The term “negative Flynn effect” names a reversal of that trend.

The evidence

Bratsberg and Rogeberg reported a decline in Norwegian conscript test data for cohorts born after about 1975 (Bratsberg & Rogeberg, 2018). Conscript data is useful because it covers nearly every young man in a cohort, not a self-selected group.

Why it matters for IQ scores

Whether averages rise or fall, a test scored against old norms drifts. If the average shifts, a score of 100 on an old table no longer means exactly average today. That is why the standardization sample gets renewed with new editions.

Common confusions

A change in averages across generations says nothing about any one person. It is also easy to overread: the causes are still debated. One firm result: a Norwegian study of brothers found the rise, the turning point and the decline all within families, which points to environmental causes rather than changes in who has children (Bratsberg & Rogeberg, 2018). Read the Flynn effect, the entry on meta-analysis, and why IQ tests are renormed.

Try one · Spatial Reasoning

Which option is the same shape, only rotated?

Tap the option you think is right, or show the answer.

Show the answer

Option 1 is the original figure turned a half turn.

How to solve it

  1. Pick a landmark: the marked cell or the end of the longest arm.
  2. Turn the figure in your head and watch where that landmark goes, and which side the other cells end up on.
  3. Turning the figure a half turn gives option 1.
  4. Each of the other options is a mirror image: flipping it over would match, but no turn does.

That was 1 puzzle. The full test has 25.

Sources

  1. Bratsberg, B., & Rogeberg, O. (2018). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(26), 6674-6678. doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1718793115
  2. Pietschnig, J., & Voracek, M. (2015). One century of global IQ gains. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 10(3), 282-306. doi.org/10.1177/1745691615577701

2 questions

Questions

Is IQ falling everywhere?

The research cited here does not say that. A decline has been reported in Norwegian conscript data, and a large meta-analysis found that the earlier gains were slowing in recent decades.

Does the negative Flynn effect change my score?

Not directly. Your score compares you with a test reference group. It is one reason tests are normed against new samples from time to time.

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