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IQ Octopus

Question

Can smart people be irrational?

Short answer

Yes. Across seven studies, many classic thinking biases, including framing, anchoring, base-rate neglect, myside bias and the sunk-cost effect, were uncorrelated with cognitive ability. High scorers avoided some other biases more often, but intelligence and rational thinking are related only in part.

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Intelligence and rationality are different things

A widely cited 1994 statement signed by 52 researchers defined intelligence as a very general mental capability that includes the ability to reason, plan, solve problems and think abstractly (Gottfredson, 1997). Rationality is narrower and more practical: weighing evidence fairly, noticing when a question has been framed to steer you, and not throwing good money after bad. You might expect the two to go together. The research says they overlap less than you would think.

What the studies found

Keith Stanovich and Richard West ran seven studies comparing cognitive ability with performance on classic tests of thinking bias. Many well-known biases, including framing effects, anchoring, base-rate neglect, myside bias and the sunk-cost effect, were uncorrelated with cognitive ability (Stanovich & West, 2008).

The picture was not entirely flat. Higher ability did go with avoiding some biases, including denominator neglect, probability matching, belief bias and matching bias on a well-known logic task (Stanovich & West, 2008). Those tend to be problems where noticing the trap and working through the logic is enough.

Try one · Pattern Recognition

Which tile comes next?

Tap the option you think is right, or show the answer.

Show the answer

The missing tile shows a tiny hatched pentagon (option 5).

How to solve it

  1. Compare neighboring tiles and name what changes each time.
  2. From tile to tile, the pentagon gets smaller.
  3. The fill cycles hatched, solid and outline, then starts again.
  4. Everything else stays the same from tile to tile.
  5. The last tile shows a small outlined pentagon. Apply each change once more.
  6. So the missing tile shows a tiny hatched pentagon.

That was 1 puzzle. The full test has 25.

Why a smart person can fall for a framing trick

An IQ test hands you a clear problem and asks for the one right answer. Many everyday mistakes happen before any reasoning starts: you accept the frame you were given, anchor on the first number you hear or look harder for evidence that agrees with you. Reasoning ability helps only if something prompts you to use it.

What to take from this

Sources

  1. Stanovich, K. E., & West, R. F. (2008). On the relative independence of thinking biases and cognitive ability. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 94(4), 672-695. doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.94.4.672
  2. Gottfredson, L. S. (1997). Mainstream science on intelligence: An editorial with 52 signatories, history, and bibliography. Intelligence, 24(1), 13-23. doi.org/10.1016/S0160-2896(97)90011-8

3 questions

Questions

Does a high IQ protect against bias?

Only partly. Higher ability helped with some reasoning traps, such as probability matching and belief bias, but not with many others, including anchoring and myside bias.

What is myside bias?

Evaluating evidence in a way that favors what you already believe. In the research, people with higher cognitive ability were not less prone to it.

Do IQ tests measure rationality?

Not directly. IQ tests measure reasoning on well-defined problems with one correct answer. Whether a person stops to question their first impression in everyday decisions is a different skill.

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